Impact Effects

Robert Marcus, H. Jay Melosh, and Gareth Collins

Your Inputs:

Distance from Impact: 5000.00 km = 3105.00 miles
Projectile Diameter: 1000000.00 m = 3280000.00 ft = 621.00 miles
Projectile Density: 1500 kg/m3
Impact Velocity: 50.00 km/s = 31.05 miles/s
Impact Angle: 70 degrees
Target Density: 2750 kg/m3
Target Type: Crystalline Rock

Energy:

Energy before atmospheric entry: 9.82 x 1029 Joules = 2.35 x 1014 MegaTons TNT
The average interval between impacts of this size is longer than the Earth's age.
Such impacts could only occur during the accumulation of the Earth, between 4.5 and 4 billion years ago.

Atmospheric Entry:

The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of 89700 meters = 294000 ft
The projectile reaches the ground in a broken condition. The mass of projectile strikes the surface at velocity 50 km/s = 31 miles/s
The impact energy is 9.82 x 1029 Joules = 2.35 x 1014MegaTons.
The broken projectile fragments strike the ground in an ellipse of dimension 1060 km by 1000 km

Major Global Changes:

The Earth is not strongly disturbed by the impact and loses negligible mass.
The impact does not make a noticeable change in the Earth's rotation period or the tilt of its axis.
The impact does not shift the Earth's orbit noticeably.

Crater Dimensions:

What does this mean?


Crater shape is normal in spite of atmospheric crushing; fragments are not significantly dispersed.

Transient Crater Diameter: 3150 km = 1950 miles
Transient Crater Depth: 1110 km = 691 miles

Final Crater Diameter: 9010 km = 5600 miles
Final Crater Depth: 4.59 km = 2.85 miles
The final crater is replaced by a large, circular melt province.
The volume of the target melted or vaporized is 8.74e+09 km3 = 2.1e+09 miles3
Melt volume = 2.14 times the crater volume
At this size, the crater forms in its own melt pool.

Thermal Radiation:

What does this mean?


Time for maximum radiation: 398 seconds after impact

Your position is inside the fireball.
The fireball appears 819 times larger than the sun
Thermal Exposure: 1.65 x 1012 Joules/m2
Duration of Irradiation: 25800 seconds
Radiant flux (relative to the sun): 63900

Effects of Thermal Radiation:

    Clothing ignites

    Much of the body suffers third degree burns

    Newspaper ignites

    Plywood flames

    Deciduous trees ignite

    Grass ignites

Seismic Effects:

What does this mean?


The major seismic shaking will arrive at approximately 1000 seconds.
Richter Scale Magnitude: 14.2 (This is greater than any earthquake in recorded history)
Mercalli Scale Intensity at a distance of 5000 km:

    IX. General panic. Damage considerable in specially designed structures; well-designed frame structures thrown out of plumb. Damage great in substantial buildings, with partial collapse. Buildings shifted off foundations. Serious damage to reservoirs. Underground pipes broken. Conspicuous cracks in ground. In alluviated areas sand and mud ejected, earthquake fountains, sand craters.

    X. Most masonry and frame structures destroyed with their foundations. Some well-built wooden structures and bridges destroyed. Serious damage to dams, dikes, embankments. Large landslides. Water thrown on banks of canals, rivers, lakes, etc. Sand and mud shifted horizontally on beaches and flat land. Rails bent slightly.

Ejecta:

What does this mean?


The ejecta will arrive approximately 1570 seconds after the impact.
Your position is in the region which collapses into the final crater.
Your position is beneath the continuous ejecta deposit.
Average Ejecta Thickness: 8160 m = 26800 ft

Air Blast:

What does this mean?


The air blast will arrive at approximately 15200 seconds.
Peak Overpressure: 2.11e+08 Pa = 2110 bars = 30000 psi
Max wind velocity: 11700 m/s = 26200 mph
Sound Intensity: 166 dB (Dangerously Loud)
Damage Description:

    Multistory wall-bearing buildings will collapse.

    Wood frame buildings will almost completely collapse.

    Multistory steel-framed office-type buildings will suffer extreme frame distortion, incipient collapse.

    Highway truss bridges will collapse.

    Highway girder bridges will collapse.

    Glass windows will shatter.

    Cars and trucks will be largely displaced and grossly distorted and will require rebuilding before use.

    Up to 90 percent of trees blown down; remainder stripped of branches and leaves.


Tell me more...

Click here for a pdf document that details the observations, assumptions, and equations upon which this program is based. It describes our approach to quantifying the important impact processes that might affect the people, buildings, and landscape in the vicinity of an impact event and discusses the uncertainty in our predictions. The processes included are: atmospheric entry, impact crater formation, fireball expansion and thermal radiation, ejecta deposition, seismic shaking, and the propagation of the atmospheric blast wave.






Earth Impact Effects Program Copyright 2004, Robert Marcus, H.J. Melosh, and G.S. Collins
These results come with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY